If the stars align, Mike Davis will shine this week

December 11, 2020

Mike Davis has been doing his best to keep Christian McCaffery's Fantasy Owners afloat during his season of injuries. I hope everyone held on to Davis for this reason. With CMC taking limited reps during practice this week with a new thigh injury, the Panthers have listed him as "Doubtful" to play. Carolina also got hit with some positive COVID tests within their receiving core. D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel were both placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list and Samuel has now been activated off of the list, while Moore is not expected to be back in time to play Week 14.

Davis could have a very big week against a Denver D that has given up the most Rush ATT/G (29.77) so far this season and also ranks 23rd worst for Rush YDS/ATT (4.56) and 24th worst for Rush TD/G (1.08). Denver has a very stout Pass D who give up the 15th fewest REC/G (20.85), 6th fewest YDS/REC (9.68), and 4th fewest REC TD/G (1.23). The Rams (1.08), Dolphins (1.08), and Colts (1.15) are the only teams that give up fewer REC TD/G.

Davis is only a must-start if CMC does not play, but he will definitely have a much bigger ceiling if Moore also does not play this week. With CMC being listed as "Doubtful", I do not expect him to play.

Below are Davis' stats when playing second fiddle to CMC and when CMC has been out.

The only commonality of Davis playing with CMC amd without is that he has received 4.33 REC/G for both. He has averaged a healthy 13.51 0.5PPR FPTS/G without CMC and I expect the same and more this week. If he is dealt with the added bonus of Moore not playing, I expect a few more receptions and many more yards from rushing and receiving. I currently have him ranked at RB12 for the week, which lands him in the low end of the RB1 category, but that is still better than RB2. There is a good possibility that I move him up in my rankings before Sunday's game.

My Week 14 Rankings and CheatSheet are available below. Feel free to leave feedback, comment, or even reach out on Twitter and ask a question. Good luck!